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FlaREGS — Where Insight Drives Opportunity
Market Trends8 min read

Why Secondary Florida Markets Like DeLand Are Where the Smart CRE Money Is Moving in 2026

FlaREGS Team·

DeLand, Florida is a strong place to invest in commercial real estate in 2026. The city sits at the convergence of I-4 and I-95 — two of the state's most critical transportation arteries — offering dual-coast logistics access, a growing population base, and commercial property prices that are a fraction of what investors face in Miami, Tampa, or Orlando. Volusia County's 8.1 million square feet of industrial inventory, expanding retail corridors, and structurally lower insurance costs make it one of the most compelling secondary markets in the state right now.

At FlaREGS, we've operated in this market for over 40 years. The shift we're watching now — institutional and private capital moving one ring out from Florida's primary metros — isn't speculation. It's already happening, and it's being driven by math that's hard to argue with.

The Primary Metro Problem

Florida's gateway cities have been the story for a decade. Miami, Tampa, Orlando, Jacksonville — these markets absorbed the bulk of institutional CRE capital as population migration accelerated and cap rates compressed.

The problem in 2026 is that the trade is crowded.

Cap rates in Miami's industrial market have compressed to levels where cash-on-cash returns are marginal after financing costs. Tampa's multifamily market saw a wave of new supply that's pushed vacancy up and forced landlords into concession territory. Orlando's office market is still working through post-pandemic occupancy resets.

None of this means these are bad markets. But for investors looking for yield — real, risk-adjusted returns after insurance, taxes, and maintenance — the primary metros are increasingly a story of capital preservation, not capital growth.

Colliers forecasts a 15-20% increase in CRE sales volume nationally in 2026. Where is that volume going? Increasingly, into secondary and tertiary markets where the entry math still works.

Why DeLand and Volusia County

Location Advantage

DeLand isn't a random secondary market. It sits at a genuine logistics and workforce intersection.

Interstate 4 connects Tampa to Daytona Beach, running directly through DeLand. Interstate 95 is minutes east, connecting the entire Eastern Seaboard. The SunRail commuter rail system is expanding its reach, connecting Volusia County to the Orlando metro's workforce and employment centers.

For industrial and distribution users, this means dual-coast port access — Port Tampa Bay to the west, Port Canaveral and Jacksonville's JAXPORT to the east — without the congestion and cost of operating inside the primary metros.

For retail and office users, DeLand's workforce draws from a growing population base that spans west Volusia, southern Flagler, and northern Seminole counties.

The Insurance Advantage Is Real

This is the factor that most out-of-state investors underestimate, and it's one of the most significant structural advantages that inland markets hold over coastal Florida.

Commercial property insurance in Florida is location-dependent in a way that directly impacts NOI. A property in coastal Miami-Dade faces wind, flood, and storm surge risk that underwriters price aggressively. An equivalent property in DeLand — 25 miles inland, elevated, outside FEMA flood zones — carries meaningfully lower premiums.

We're not talking about a marginal difference. Insurance cost differentials of 30-50% between coastal and inland properties in the same asset class are common. On a $5 million property, that can mean $40,000-$80,000 per year in NOI difference — straight to the bottom line.

When you're evaluating cap rates, the property with the lower sticker cap rate in DeLand may actually deliver a higher real return than the higher cap rate property on the coast, once insurance is properly underwritten.

Entry Price and Value Creation

As of early 2026, commercial land and improved property in Volusia County trades at a substantial discount to equivalent assets in Orlando, Tampa, or the Southeast Florida corridor.

This isn't because the market is inferior. It's because institutional capital hasn't fully arrived yet — and that's the opportunity.

DeLand's downtown corridor has seen consistent investment in mixed-use retail and dining. Historic buildings are being repurposed into commercial spaces that attract professional services, boutique retail, and food and beverage tenants. The city's Main Street program and community development initiatives are creating a walkable, livable downtown that drives both commercial and residential demand.

Neighborhood retail centers across Volusia County are posting occupancy rates above 95% for grocery-anchored and service-based properties. E-commerce-resistant tenants — medical offices, fitness centers, restaurants, salons — are driving absorption in a way that makes these assets fundamentally different from the retail categories that struggled during the e-commerce shift.

The Investment Thesis in Numbers

Here's how the math compares across Florida markets for a typical neighborhood retail investment in 2026:

Primary Metro (Tampa/Orlando):

  • Entry price per square foot: $250-$350
  • Insurance cost: $3.50-$5.00/SF
  • Cap rate: 5.5-6.5%
  • Cash-on-cash (65% LTV at 6.5% rate): 2-4%

Secondary Market (DeLand/Volusia County):

  • Entry price per square foot: $150-$220
  • Insurance cost: $2.00-$3.00/SF
  • Cap rate: 7-8.5%
  • Cash-on-cash (65% LTV at 6.5% rate): 5-8%

The secondary market property isn't just cheaper — it delivers a meaningfully higher return on deployed capital while carrying lower insurance risk. That's not a speculative bet. It's arithmetic.

Population Growth as a Demand Floor

Volusia County's population has grown consistently, and the trajectory isn't slowing. The county benefits from the same macro trends driving all of Florida — no state income tax, favorable business climate, quality of life — without the congestion and cost-of-living pressures that are beginning to slow migration into South Florida and parts of the Tampa Bay area.

For commercial real estate, population growth is the demand floor. More residents means more demand for medical services, retail, dining, professional services, and industrial distribution. That demand translates into lease absorption, rent growth, and property value appreciation over time.

What makes DeLand's population growth particularly valuable for CRE investors is the demographic mix. The area attracts retirees (driving medical office and healthcare demand), young families (driving retail and residential services), and small businesses (driving office and flex space demand). That diversification protects against the single-demographic risk that some Florida markets face.

What Experienced Local Operators See That Others Miss

Lee Johnson has been working Volusia County commercial real estate for over four decades. In that time, he's watched three full market cycles — and the pattern is consistent.

Capital flows to the coast first, prices compress, yields drop, and then smart money starts looking inland. The inland markets offer better returns, but they require local knowledge that institutional platforms can't replicate.

Here's what you need to know that the data feeds don't tell you:

  • Zoning and entitlement timelines. Volusia County's development review process has its own rhythm. Knowing which corridors are zoned for what — and where rezoning is realistic versus a two-year fight — saves investors months and significant capital.
  • Tenant quality varies by corridor. Not every retail strip or industrial park in the county is equal. Some corridors have infrastructure limitations, traffic pattern issues, or visibility problems that affect tenant quality and lease rates. You learn this by operating here for years, not by looking at a satellite map.
  • The university effect. Stetson University in DeLand creates a consistent demand driver for certain commercial categories — student housing, food and beverage, professional services — that adds stability to the downtown market.
  • Infrastructure investments that aren't priced in yet. Road improvements, SunRail expansion plans, and utility infrastructure upgrades create value before the market recognizes them. Operators who track municipal planning processes can position ahead of these catalysts.

The Window Is Open, but It Won't Stay Open Indefinitely

Secondary markets like DeLand are attractive precisely because they're under-recognized. As institutional capital continues its shift from over-priced primary metros to value-oriented secondary markets, pricing in these markets will adjust upward.

The investors who benefit most will be those who move while the opportunity exists — with local guidance that helps them avoid the pitfalls that come with any market that's new to them.

At FlaREGS, we've spent four decades building the relationships, market knowledge, and deal flow that allow our clients to invest with confidence in Volusia County and Central Florida's commercial real estate market. If you're considering a move into Florida's secondary markets, we'd welcome the conversation.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is DeLand, Florida a good place to invest in commercial real estate?

Yes, DeLand offers a compelling combination of low entry prices relative to primary Florida metros, structurally lower insurance costs due to its inland location, strong population growth, and strategic access via I-4 and I-95. Cap rates in Volusia County run 150-200 basis points above equivalent assets in Tampa or Orlando, delivering higher cash-on-cash returns for income-focused investors.

How does DeLand compare to Orlando or Tampa for CRE investment?

DeLand and Volusia County offer significantly lower entry prices per square foot, lower insurance premiums (30-50% less than coastal markets), and higher cap rates. While Orlando and Tampa offer larger tenant pools and more institutional liquidity, their compressed cap rates make it harder to generate strong cash-on-cash returns at current interest rates. Secondary markets like DeLand are where the yield advantage exists in 2026.

What types of commercial property are strongest in Volusia County?

Neighborhood retail anchored by grocery and service tenants is posting the highest occupancy rates, followed by medical office (driven by Florida's aging population) and industrial/warehouse space along the I-4 corridor. Flex and small-bay industrial is particularly strong as e-commerce fulfillment demand pushes into secondary distribution markets.

What are the risks of investing in a secondary Florida market like DeLand?

The primary risks are lower liquidity (fewer institutional buyers means longer hold periods may be needed for exit), smaller tenant pools for specialized spaces, and market-specific factors that require local expertise to navigate. These risks are manageable with proper due diligence and guidance from operators with deep local market knowledge — which is exactly what FlaREGS provides.